Monday, October 26, 2009

Week 8 Rankings...Starting To Gel

Al’s Top 25 is starting to gel and match-up real well with the other more well-known rankings. Then again, based on media coverage and newspaper headlines, almost anyone can come up with a similar list. At least I’d like to think my numbers are working out well…they don’t read the papers.

There was no apparent change to the top seven teams in this week’s AT25. However, the Iowa victory over Michigan State was actually an upset. However, the Hawkeyes remained at #3 merely because Florida and Texas are scored so much higher than all others. At least until Iowa joined this elite group.

Pittsburgh moved up ten spots to #8 after their convincing victory over South Florida. Their season-ending match-ups with WVU and Cincinnati should be a doozy! TCU skyrocketed sixteen notches to #9 after defeating BYU. This is the Horned Frogs same ranking as the BSC Poll. Forgive me for patting the numbers on the back.

Other teams entering Al’s Top 25 include Notre Dame (finally) at #15, Central Michigan at #23, Oklahoma at #24 and Ohio State at #25. Teams that dropped out of the AT25 are BYU, Boston College, Arkansas, and Nebraska.

Here’s the list after Week 8:

1. Florida (1)
2. Texas (2)
3. Iowa (3)
4. Alabama (4)
5. LSU (5)
6. Cincinnati (6)
7. Georgia Tech (7)
8. Pittsburgh (18)
9. TCU (25)
10. Boise State (8)
11. Virginia Tech (9)
12. Auburn 10)
13. Clemson (11)
14. Fresno State (12)
15. Notre Dame (NR)
16. Utah (14)
17. Oregon (15)
18. USC (16)
19. Oklahoma State (17)
20. Houston (19)
21. Miami (23)
22. West Virginia (24)
23. Central Michigan (NR)
24. Oklahoma (NR)
25. Ohio State (NR)

Fell Out:
BYU (13)
Boston College (20)
Arkansas (21)
Nebraska (22)

The games to watch in Week 9 are:

Georgia at #1 Florida (during preseason, this was predicted to be THE game to watch)
#2 Texas at #19 Oklahoma State (bigger than Texas and Oklahoma?)
#18 USC at #17 Oregon. (USC is rated much higher in most polls)
#21 Miami at Wake Forest (believe it or not, a predicted Wake victory)
#22 West Virginia at South Florida (Friday night fireworks)

Happy Halloween everyone!

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Week 7 Rankings

There are some significant changes in Al’s Top 25, but man oh man, we almost had a major shake-up. Both Florida and Texas squeaked by victories over their opponents. And while Alabama handled South Carolina, they fell one spot due to Iowa continuing to show unexpected dominance.

Other newcomers entered the rankings this week…warranted or not. Georgia Tech moved to #7 after defeating the Hokies. Auburn fell to #10 after losing to Kentucky. Clemson skyrocketed to #11 upon soundly defeating Boston College. Fresno State continues their mystery appearance at #12. Oklahoma State and Pittsburgh makes their debut appearance in the AT25, and Miami finally gets the recognition it most likely deserves.

Here is Al’s Top 25 after Week 7:

1. Florida (1)
2. Texas (2)
3. Iowa (10)
4. Alabama (3)
5. LSU (4)
6. Cincinnati (6)
7. Georgia Tech (13)
8. Boise State (9)
9. Virginia Tech (5)
10. Auburn (7)
11. Clemson (NR)
12. Fresno State (11)
13. BYU (12)
14. Utah (14)
15. Oregon (15)
16. USC (16)
17. Oklahoma State (NR)
18. Pittsburgh (NR)
19. Houston (18)
20. Boston College (19)
21. Arkansas (20)
22. Nebraska (21)
23. Miami (NR)
24. West Virginia (22)
25. TCU (24)

Fell Out:
Ohio State (8)
Wisconsin (17)
Central Michigan (25)

The games to watch in Week 7 are:

#3 Iowa at Michigan State
#10 Auburn at #5 LSU
#11 Clemson at #23 Miami (a predicted Tiger victory)
#25 TCU at #13 BYU
#18 Pittsburgh at South Florida
#20 Boston College at Notre Dame
Minnesota at Ohio State (A Gopher victory could put them in the AT25)
Idaho at Nevada (Idaho is on an incredible run)

Enjoy another great week of football!

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Al’s Top 25 is starting to look very similar to the mainstream rankings. Well, at least the top 10. Eight of the top ten on the AT25 are also in the AP Top 10. Iowa, which is number 10 in my poll is number 11 in the AP. Only Auburn, ranked #7, seems to be way off of the other polls.

The remaining poll seems to have a few anomalies. The most glaring is Fresno State, which has a record of 2-3 but is ranked #11. This is due primarily because the Bulldogs are expected to win all of their remaining games . As a result, they’ll not earn any more positive ranking points and any future losses will have them move down the poll quickly.

Speaking of predicted finishes, I started to wonder which teams have performed much better, or much worse, as compared to the preseason rankings. The worst, by far, is Ball State. The AT25 numbers predicted that they would finish the season undefeated. However, the loss of key players from last years weighed heavily on this year’s performance as the Cardinals have a record of 0-6. Florida Atlantic has a similar result as they were expected to finish 10-1-1 but thus far are 0-4. As for the teams that have performed better versus their expectations, Minnesota, Notre Dame and Miami (FL) have all won three games that they were expected to lose. Neither are in the top 25 yet, but if their winning ways continue, it won’t be long. However, the very best performer has been Idaho. Expected to finish the season winless, the Vandals have posted a 5-1 record with the only loss to Pac-10 surprise Washington.

Here is Al’s Top 25 after Week 6:

1. Florida (1)
2. Texas (2)
3. Alabama (4)
4. LSU (5)
5. Virginia Tech (6)
6. Cincinnati (7)
7. Auburn (3)
8. Ohio State (8)
9. Boise State (9)
10. Iowa (10)
11. Fresno State (NR)
12. BYU (12)
13. Georgia Tech (NR)
14. Utah (14)
15. Oregon (15)
16. USC (16)
17. Wisconsin (17)
18. Houston (18)
19. Boston College (19)
20. Arkansas (NR)
21. Nebraska (NR)
22. West Virginia (20)
23. Wake Forest (21)
24. TCU (22)
25. Central Michigan (23)

Fell Out:
- Missouri (11)
- Georgia (13)
- Oklahoma (24)
- Tulsa (25)

The games I’ll be watching in Week 7 are:

#20 Arkansas at #1 Florida
#2 Texas at (#26) Oklahoma
#5 Virginia Tech at #13 Georgia Tech
#6 Cincinnati at undefeated South Florida
Kentucky at #7 Auburn (a predicted “tie”)
#9 Boise State at 4-1 Tulsa
#10 Iowa and #17 Wisconsin
#16 USC at surprising Notre Dame

Whew…that’s a lot of good football! Enjoy!

Thursday, October 8, 2009

Week 5...the SEC Takes Over!

Since I’m late in publishing Week 5’s Top 25, I’ll mince with the words and just present the list::

1. Florida (1)
2. Texas (2)
3. Auburn (8)
4. Alabama (3)
5. LSU (14)
6. Virginia Tech (4)
7. Cincinnati (5)
8. Ohio State (10)
9. Boise State (11)
10. Iowa (12)
11. Missouri (13)
12. BYU (16)
13. Georgia (6)
14. Utah (17)
15. Oregon (18)
16. USC (19)
17. Wisconsin (20)
18. Houston (7)
19. Boston College (21)
20. West Virginia (22)
21. Wake Forest (23)
22. TCU (24)
23. Central Michigan (25)
24. Oklahoma (9)
25. Tulsa (NR)

Fell Out: Clemson (15)

The games to watch in Week 6 are:

#1 Florida at #5 LSU (THE game to watch)
#17 Wisconsin at #8 Ohio State
#19 Boston College at #6 Virginia Tech

Outside of the Top 25, games that could impact the rankings are:

Fresno State at Hawaii
Georgia Tech at Florida State
Auburn at Arkansas
Nebraska at Missouri (which is being played as I type this)

Enjoy the games everyone!