Monday, November 30, 2009

In past years, this would have been the last posting of Al’s Top 25…or close to it. While I’d make an attempt to predict the bowls results or conference finals, it really wasn’t part of the overall plan…just a prediction for fun. This year, even as screwed up as my rankings are, I plan to predict such games and continue the rankings until the last down of the last game of the post-season.

Right now, Florida is top dog. They’ve been number one all season and no one has really challenged their ranking. But for the first time, we have a new number two in the AT25. Yep, because of my point system, the Miami Hurricanes have risen to #2. This is based on the fact that the numbers predicted Miami to have a 2-10 season. Instead, they’ve had a 9-3 season. That’s a 7 game swing. Not the largest, but because the Canes were probably the highest ranked 2-10 team, they reached the highest peak. Another team to take advantage of my point system is 10-2 Georgia Tech who is still ranked #5 despite losing to Georgia in the season finale. #9 Stanford (8-4), #10 Ole Miss (8-4), #14 Middle Tennessee State, #18 Minnesota (6-6) and #20 Auburn (7-5) have also benefited from my system.

Here’s Als’s Top 25 after Week 13:

1. Florida (1)
2. Miami (5)
3. Texas (2)
4. Alabama (3)
5. Georgia Tech (4)
6. TCU (6)
7. Iowa (7)
8. Stanford (13)
9. Mississippi (8)
10. Cincinnati (9)
11. Oklahoma State (10)
12. Pittsburgh (11)
13. Nebraska (12)
14. Middle Tennessee State (NR)
15. Central Michigan (14)
16. North Carolina (15)
17. Boise State (16)
18. Minnesota (17)
19. Temple (18)
20. Auburn (19)
21. Brigham Young (NR)
22. Oregon (22)
23. California (23)
24. Houston (24)
25. Arkansas (25)

Fell Out:

- Clemson (20)
- Notre Dame (21)

Here’s a look at the games of Week 14, which consists mostly of Big East and PAC-10 games as well as various Conference Championships:

· SEC Championship with #1 Florida and #4 Alabama. A Gator win is predicted.
· #3 Texas and #13 Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship. Count on the Longhorns to take this one to the National Championship game.
· The ACC Championship pits #5 Georgia Tech against overall # 38 Clemson. I know I know…where’s Miami? Still, this could be the most entertaining game as the numbers show this as a toss-up.
· The Big East does not have a championship game, but somehow, for the last few years, the last scheduled game decides the league champ. This year is no different as #10 Cincinnati visits #12 Pitt. The Bearcats should take this, but Pitt’s hungry after losing to rival WVU last week.
· #15 Central Michigan should defeat #34 Ohio in the MAC Championship
· The Conference USA Championship has #24 Houston meeting #45 East Carolina. The AT25 likes the Pirates to win this one, despite the rating difference.

Except for the Army vs. Navy game on December 12, this is essentially the last week of college football before the long bowl season. Once the bowl match-ups are announced, I’ll make the AT25 predictions and we’ll see how the season year finishes. Keep posted throughout the bowl season!

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